TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 1:25 PM EST
Kalshi
The event centers on the Premier League clash between Liverpool and Manchester City scheduled for October 11, 2026, focusing on whether both teams find the back of the net during the 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time awarded. Goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts do not affect the result.
If Liverpool and Manchester City both score a goal in the Liverpool vs Manchester City EPL match originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market is driven by the actions of many participants. While sportsbooks may initially incorporate public sentiment, prediction markets can evolve more dynamically as new information becomes available. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as the event approaches and more traders participate in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both Liverpool and Manchester City will score during the match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the 'Yes' outcome (both teams to score). On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy 'Yes' contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the evolving consensus of the crowd and provides a real-time assessment of the likelihood of both teams finding the net.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Liverpool and Manchester City score at least one goal during the scheduled match. The result will be determined by official match data and verified against credible public sources. Traders holding contracts on Kalshi will be paid out or have their contracts adjusted based on the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Injury news regarding key attacking players for either Liverpool or Manchester City would likely have a significant impact. Tactical changes announced by either manager, particularly those affecting attacking formations, could also shift sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could influence expectations about scoring opportunities and move this market. Any unexpected news related to team morale or off-field issues could also contribute to price fluctuations.