TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 1:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Liverpool versus Manchester City English Premier League soccer match will end in a tie. Currently, “Tie is the result” is trading at 39.0% on Kalshi, while “Manchester City wins” is at 35.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official result, per the resolution source. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for October 11, 2026, as the full-time result will determine the outcome of this market.
The event resolves based on the full regulation time result of the Liverpool versus Manchester City English Premier League match scheduled for October 11, 2026. A victory for either Liverpool or Manchester City will resolve the respective market to Yes, while a draw will resolve the Tie market to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The resolution excludes extra time and penalty shootouts, focusing only on the 90 minutes plus stoppage time result. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective intelligence of traders, aims to reflect the true probability of each outcome. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, prediction markets dynamically adjust as more information becomes available and more people trade. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, information advantages, or simply the mechanics of how each type of market operates.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Liverpool vs Manchester City match, as determined by the governing football authorities. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome accordingly. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be entitled to a payout based on the final market prices at resolution. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date for any potential delays or changes to the match schedule.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Liverpool or Manchester City would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trading activity. Major upsets in other matches involving these teams leading up to the event could shift public perception and influence the market. Furthermore, any significant media coverage or expert analysis predicting a particular outcome could drive trading volume and alter prices.