TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 6:18 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an EFL Cup soccer match between Liverpool and Chelsea, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves specific goal-differential thresholds within regular time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. The event provides insight into the potential dominance of one team over the other in this head-to-head competition.
The event resolves based on the goal differential by which either Liverpool or Chelsea wins the professional EFL Cup soccer game originally scheduled for October 28, 2026. Four distinct outcome thresholds are evaluated: Liverpool winning by more than 2.5 goals, Liverpool winning by more than 1.5 goals, Chelsea winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Chelsea winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with extra time and penalty kicks excluded from consideration. The event explicitly states that Kalshi, the platform hosting this market, holds no official affiliation or connection with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and their own risk assessment, while this market allows individuals to express their beliefs about the outcome. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated an ability to be more accurate than traditional polls or analysts in forecasting event outcomes. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread in the Liverpool vs Chelsea match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sporting body. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as it approaches the resolution date to stay informed of any potential developments.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 29, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Liverpool or Chelsea would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the clubs or the broader football landscape could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.