TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 6:16 PM EST
Kalshi
This event centers on the EFL Cup encounter between Liverpool and Chelsea scheduled for October 28, 2026, focusing on whether both clubs find the back of the net during the 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Success depends entirely on each team's ability to score at least one goal in normal match time.
If Liverpool and Chelsea both score a goal in the Liverpool vs Chelsea EFL Cup match originally scheduled for Oct 28, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as team news, injuries, or weather conditions – the prediction market odds tend to adjust more quickly and efficiently than traditional sportsbook odds. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant event, as traders weigh various factors influencing the likelihood of both teams scoring.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the Liverpool vs Chelsea match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As traders place orders, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting their collective assessment of the likelihood of a ‘Yes’ outcome – that is, both teams scoring. The market’s price is determined entirely by the actions of traders on the exchange.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Liverpool and Chelsea score at least one goal during the scheduled match. The official result, as determined by the governing football authorities, will be used to determine the winning contracts. Any goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered for the purposes of this market’s resolution.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Liverpool or Chelsea would likely cause movement. Tactical changes announced by either manager, particularly those impacting attacking formations, could also shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, such as heavy rain or strong winds, might affect the likelihood of goals being scored. Finally, any significant shifts in public sentiment, reflected in updated sportsbook odds or football analysis, could also drive trading activity and move the price of this market.