TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 6:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Liverpool will win their professional EFL Cup soccer game against Chelsea after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, Kalshi gives Liverpool a 38.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 35.0%. The market resolves based on the result of the Liverpool vs Chelsea match on October 28, 2026, as determined by the official game outcome, and will close following the end of regular play. Keep an eye on the starting lineups announced on October 28, 2026, as they may signal each team’s approach to this match.
The event determines the winner of the Liverpool vs Chelsea professional EFL Cup soccer match scheduled for October 28, 2026, based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Liverpool, a win for Chelsea, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as per the event rules. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds, as they aggregate the wisdom of many individuals. Sportsbooks set lines to attract balanced betting, incorporating a profit margin, while this market relies on participants directly assessing probabilities. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes move this market, particularly before the event begins, as they represent a significant source of public information. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments and the influence of public perception, but ultimately, this market aims to provide a more collective and informed prediction.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people trade, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that the price is solely determined by supply and demand within Kalshi, and isn’t influenced by external factors or other prediction markets. The current market reflects the aggregated predictions of those actively trading on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Liverpool vs Chelsea match, as determined by official league sources. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome based on this publicly available information. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the verified result. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Liverpool or Chelsea would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trading activity. Major news stories related to the clubs or the players involved could also introduce volatility. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the teams' relative strengths will likely be reflected in the market price.