TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 12:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates the total number of goals scored in an upcoming English Premier League soccer match between Liverpool and Brighton. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals, determining whether the game is considered high-scoring or not based on that specific benchmark.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored during the standard 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee, excluding extra time or penalty kicks, in the Liverpool versus Brighton EPL match scheduled for October 25, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the cumulative goals exceed the specified threshold for each respective market (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). The resolution strictly considers goals scored within regular time, with no adjustments for post-match events or tie-breaking procedures. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market’s probabilities are determined by the collective predictions of traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It's common to see this market incorporate information and adjust more rapidly to news or late-breaking developments than sportsbook lines, though both aim to predict the same ultimate outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Liverpool vs Brighton match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time assessment of expectations. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of goals scored in the Liverpool vs Brighton match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process relies on publicly available and independently verifiable data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the match concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Late injury reports for key players on either Liverpool or Brighton would likely cause significant shifts. Any news regarding team formations or tactical changes could also impact expectations. Even weather conditions on match day, such as heavy rain or strong winds, might affect the anticipated goal total. Unexpected news related to player form or team morale could also contribute to price movements in this market up until the final whistle.