TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 11:58 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an English Premier League soccer match between Liverpool and Brighton, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential, reflecting the competitive balance and performance of both clubs in a key fixture.
The event resolves based on the goal differential in the Liverpool versus Brighton EPL match scheduled for October 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Four distinct outcomes are evaluated: Liverpool winning by more than 2.5 goals, Liverpool winning by more than 1.5 goals, Brighton winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Brighton winning by more than 2.5 goals. Whichever condition is met first determines the market resolution. The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes for the Liverpool vs Brighton match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand – if more people believe an outcome is likely, the price of that contract will increase, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the Liverpool vs Brighton match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official result, as reported by a trusted sports data provider, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, ensuring that the market settles accurately based on the actual event outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Liverpool or Brighton would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or changes in coaching strategies could also move the market. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of a specific spread outcome has the potential to drive price fluctuations.