TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Liverpool vs Arsenal: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Liverpool vs Arsenal?

Volume:
$281,483

Arsenal wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Arsenal wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 1:37 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Arsenal wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$183,352
N/A
N/A
$88,078
Settled
No
kalshi

Liverpool wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$53,392
N/A
N/A
$37,376
Settled
No
kalshi

Arsenal wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,470
N/A
N/A
$20,899
Settled
No
kalshi

Liverpool wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,269
N/A
N/A
$10,215
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This set of markets tracks the margin of victory in an upcoming English Premier League soccer match between Liverpool and Arsenal. Each market corresponds to a specific goal-differential threshold that determines its resolution. The outcomes depend solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the goal differential by which either Liverpool or Arsenal wins the match, observed after the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the winning team exceeds the specified goal margin detailed in each respective market—either Liverpool winning by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or Arsenal winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. If none of these conditions are met, all markets resolve to 'No'. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Liverpool vs Arsenal match tracks the current price of the spread, the 24-hour trading volume, and a history of how the price has fluctuated over time. Currently, the volume is $177,061, and the total volume traded on this market is $205,592. This allows traders to see how confidence in either team winning is changing and to understand the overall interest in this particular matchup. The dashboard provides a real-time view of market sentiment as expressed through trading activity.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market’s price is determined by individuals willing to buy or sell based on their own analysis. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. It's common to see this market diverge from sportsbook odds as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy 'yes' contracts (believing the spread will be higher than the current price) or sell 'no' contracts (believing it will be lower). On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, and changes dynamically with each trade. The more buyers there are for 'yes' contracts, the higher the price goes, and vice versa for 'no' contracts. This creates a real-time indication of the perceived probability of the spread outcome.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread for the Liverpool vs Arsenal match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by official sources covering the game, and that value will be used to determine payouts for contracts held on Kalshi. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake. The resolution process aims to be transparent and based on widely accepted data.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Liverpool or Arsenal would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather forecasts could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team morale or off-field issues could also play a role, as traders react to any information that alters their assessment of the likely outcome of the Liverpool vs Arsenal match.