TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 1:30 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming match between Liverpool FC and Manchester City FC, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Liverpool FC" if Liverpool FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Manchester City FC" if Manchester City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Liverpool FC and Manchester City FC, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Liverpool FC" if Liverpool FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Manchester City FC" if Manchester City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from sportsbook odds, which are often set by experts and may be influenced by factors like house bias or promotional offers. Sportsbooks often adjust their lines based on betting action, but prediction markets tend to incorporate a broader range of information and perspectives. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can provide insights into public perception versus professional analysis for this market.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of each team scoring first. The price of a contract directly corresponds to that probability; a higher price indicates a greater perceived chance of that outcome. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders dynamically adjust these prices based on new information, news, and their own analysis, creating a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each team taking the lead. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to reflect collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team scores the first goal in the Liverpool FC versus Manchester City FC match. The result will be based on official match data and verified against credible public sources. Any potential disputes will be handled according to Predict’s standard procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Liverpool or Manchester City would likely cause price fluctuations. Team lineup announcements closer to the match, tactical previews from reputable analysts, and even weather conditions on match day could all influence trader behavior. Unexpected news about team morale or managerial decisions might also play a role. Overall, any information that alters perceptions of each team’s scoring potential could move this market.