TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 1:55 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Liverpool FC and Manchester City FC, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Liverpool FC" if Liverpool FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Manchester City FC" if Manchester City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Liverpool FC and Manchester City FC, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Liverpool FC" if Liverpool FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Manchester City FC" if Manchester City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market’s pricing is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Polymarket will shift accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment changes leading up to the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each possible outcome – Liverpool scoring first, Manchester City scoring first, or neither team scoring first. The price of each share reflects the current probability assigned to that outcome by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more trades occur, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s efficiency is driven by traders seeking to profit from perceived mispricings, ultimately leading to a collective forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team, if any, scores the first goal in the Liverpool FC versus Manchester City FC match. The result will be based on official match data and verified against credible public sources. Traders will then be paid out based on the final outcome and their holdings in the corresponding shares.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Liverpool or Manchester City would likely cause significant movement. Tactical announcements from either manager, such as confirmed starting lineups or changes in formation, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day or even pre-match analysis from respected football pundits could also contribute to price fluctuations. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of each team’s chances of scoring first will impact this market.