TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 2:03 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Liverpool FC and Manchester City FC, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Liverpool FC" if Liverpool FC are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "Manchester City FC" if Manchester City FC are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Liverpool FC and Manchester City FC, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Liverpool FC" if Liverpool FC are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "Manchester City FC" if Manchester City FC are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. As a result, prediction market prices may react more quickly to new information or changing sentiment than sportsbook odds. Discrepancies can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from the price difference between the two.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether Liverpool or Manchester City will score first in the first half. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of each outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a team will score first, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team, if any, scores the first goal during the first half of the Liverpool versus Manchester City match. The result will be based on official match data and verified against credible public sources. No further information is available regarding the specifics of how the outcome will be determined beyond this general timeframe and verification process.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Liverpool or Manchester City would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced before the match could also shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match commentary from influential football analysts could also sway market sentiment. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of either team's chances of scoring first has the potential to move this market.