TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC?

Volume:
$4,492,762

Manchester City FC

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 1:56 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Manchester City FC

View
100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,893,307
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

MAC

99%
56%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$26,142
$359,489
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Draw

1%
25%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$5,889
$145,862
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC)

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$209,463
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

LIV

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$5,750
$131,438
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Liverpool FC

0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$753,204
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the Liverpool FC versus Manchester City FC Premier League match scheduled for October 11, 2026, asking which team will win. Currently, the consensus probability of Manchester City FC winning is 98.7%. This aggregate reflects views from Predict and Polymarket, and will resolve based on official statistics of the event as recognized by the Premier League. Keep an eye on the match itself on October 11, 2026, as the final whistle will determine the outcome and settle this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize the same core resolution logic, relying on official match statistics with clearly defined fallback sources and handling of postponements and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the Premier League.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the outcome of the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the official result is unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore data will be used, followed by Sofascore, and finally a consensus of credible reporting.
  • Postponed games will have their markets remain open until completion.
  • Cancelled games (with no makeup game) resolve 'No' for win/loss markets and 'Yes' for draw markets.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, markets will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as the official result is available, or within 24 hours of the event's conclusion if fallback sources are required.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for Sunday, October 11, 2026 between Liverpool FC and Manchester City FC.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for Sunday, October 11, 2026 between Liverpool FC and Manchester City FC.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those reflected in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the incentive structures and information aggregation methods employed. Sportsbooks set odds to ensure profitability, factoring in a house edge, while prediction markets allow participants to directly express their beliefs, creating a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially when significant information isn’t yet reflected in sportsbook lines. However, sportsbooks typically offer more markets and higher liquidity, and their odds are easily accessible. The volume on this market is currently $4,492,762.

Prices for this market may vary between Polymarket and Predict due to a number of factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading incentives, and liquidity, which can influence price discovery. Additionally, different platforms may have varying levels of information available to traders, or differing opinions on the relative importance of certain factors affecting the outcome. The volume of trading also plays a role; Polymarket has seen a volume of $4,492,762 so far, while Predict’s volume is different. These dynamics contribute to the observed price discrepancies.

Several factors could significantly shift the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Liverpool or Manchester City would likely have a substantial impact. Unexpected changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather forecasts predicting adverse conditions could all influence trader sentiment. Major upsets in other matches involving these teams leading up to the event could also affect predictions. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market.