TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 12:15 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the probability of Liverpool FC scoring over 0.5 goals in the second half of their match against Brighton & Hove Albion FC, aggregating views from Predict and Polymarket. Currently, the consensus probability of Liverpool FC scoring over 0.5 goals in the second half stands at 100.0%. Resolution will be based on the official final score published on premierleague.com. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the outcome will be determined by events occurring during the game on October 25, 2026, the estimated resolution date for this set of markets.
More markets for the Premier League game, scheduled for October 25 at 10:00 AM ET.
More markets for the Premier League game, scheduled for October 25 at 10:00 AM ET.
Prediction market odds, like those seen on Polymarket and Predict for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the mechanisms behind price discovery. Sportsbooks set odds based on their internal models and aim to balance risk, while prediction markets rely on the collective intelligence of traders who buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, particularly as more information becomes available. However, sportsbooks may offer different markets, such as prop bets, not currently available on these platforms. The volume of $1,234,900 suggests significant interest in this event.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying expertise and risk tolerance. Furthermore, the specific markets offered on each platform may not be identical, influencing price discovery. Polymarket’s market structure and fee schedule can also impact trading behavior, leading to price discrepancies. The differing volume – $1,234,900 overall – and liquidity on each platform contribute to these variations. These differences provide opportunities for arbitrage, where traders exploit price inefficiencies across platforms.