TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 1:30 PM EST
Predict
More markets for the Premier League game, scheduled for November 1 at 11:30 AM ET.
More markets for the Premier League game, scheduled for November 1 at 11:30 AM ET.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly closer to the event date. This is because prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of information and perspectives than a sportsbook’s internal modeling. However, sportsbook odds may initially offer more favorable pricing, especially when the market first opens. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, as sportsbooks factor in a profit margin, while this market reflects pure probabilities as assessed by traders.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated to reflect the latest information and sentiment. The current price is a direct result of the collective predictions of all participants.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Liverpool vs. Arsenal match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine whether a specific outcome occurred during the match, such as which team won, or if both teams scored. The final result will be used to determine which contracts pay out and at what value.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Liverpool or Arsenal would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trader sentiment. Major upsets in other matches involving these teams, or significant changes in public perception of their chances, could also contribute to movement in this market. Keep an eye on sports news and analysis for potential catalysts.