TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 1:42 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Liverpool FC will win by a margin of 6 or more goals against Arsenal FC. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to Spread: Liverpool FC (-5.5). Resolution will be determined by the official results reported on https://www.premierleague.com/. Keep an eye on the kickoff time of the Premier League game on November 1 at 11:30 AM ET, as the outcome will be determined by the final score of that match.
More markets for the Premier League game, scheduled for November 1 at 11:30 AM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If there’s significant disagreement between the two, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by betting on both venues. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast events, especially when there's a lot of information available and active trading.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. The current trading volume and price fluctuations indicate the level of conviction among market participants.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Liverpool vs. Arsenal match, as reported by a widely recognized sports news source. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the final match results to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Liverpool or Arsenal would likely cause price shifts. Unexpected changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trading activity. Major upsets in other matches involving these teams leading up to the game might also affect sentiment and move the market, as traders reassess the probabilities of different outcomes.