TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 1:30 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming Premier League game between Liverpool FC and Arsenal FC, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC match originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Premier League game between Liverpool FC and Arsenal FC, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC match originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, driven by traders on Predict, tends to aggregate diverse perspectives and can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities, especially as new information emerges. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or breaking news impacts perceptions of likely outcomes. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different exact scores. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the probability of that score occurring. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people bet on a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the odds closely track the evolving expectations of the market participants. The platform facilitates this process, allowing traders to express their views and profit from accurate predictions.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Liverpool vs. Arsenal match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing football authorities. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the actual result. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to and following the match to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the resolution process.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Liverpool or Arsenal would likely have a substantial impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could all influence trader sentiment. Unexpected news about team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role. Monitoring sports news and analysis leading up to the game is crucial for understanding potential catalysts that might shift the probabilities within this market.