TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 1:44 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Liverpool FC and Arsenal FC, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Liverpool FC" if Liverpool FC are the first to score in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "Arsenal FC" if Arsenal FC are the first to score in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Liverpool FC and Arsenal FC, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Liverpool FC" if Liverpool FC are the first to score in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "Arsenal FC" if Arsenal FC are the first to score in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the second half (second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is driven entirely by supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis of the game. This creates a dynamic and responsive pricing system.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the outcome will be determined by which team—Liverpool or Arsenal—scores the first goal in the second half of the match. The result will be based on official match data and verified against credible public sources. The platform will then finalize the market, distributing payouts to those who correctly predicted the first team to score in the second half.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Liverpool or Arsenal would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced before the match could also shift probabilities. Even the weather forecast, particularly if conditions are expected to be unfavorable, might impact trading. Finally, any pre-match analysis from respected football commentators or analysts could sway trader sentiment and alter the price of shares in this market.