TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Lithuania vs. Sweden
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Lithuania vs. Sweden?

Volume:
$264,392

Sweden

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 2:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Sweden

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$28,717
N/A
N/A
$19,858
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sweden

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,750
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Lithuania

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$128,272
N/A
N/A
$103,685
Settled
No
polymarket

Lithuania

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,751
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$79,858
N/A
N/A
$59,794
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Lithuania vs. Sweden)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,044
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group resolves to the outcome of a FIFA Women's World Cup Qualifier match between Lithuania and Sweden scheduled for October 9, 2026. Markets exist for Lithuania winning, Sweden winning, or the game ending in a draw, all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly resolves canceled games to 'No', while Kalshi does not define a resolution outcome for cancellations.Hero tip: Consider the cancellation risk when trading on Kalshi, as resolution may be less certain than on Polymarket.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Uses official statistics, Flashscore, or Sofascore as backup sources. Refers only to the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if Lithuania or Sweden wins, or if the game ends in a tie, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Does not specify a resolution outcome for canceled games.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Women's World Cup Qualification game, scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026 between Lithuania and Sweden.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Lithuania vs Sweden professional FIFA World Cup Qualifiers Women soccer match scheduled for October 9, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for either Lithuania or Sweden occurs only if that specific team wins the match in regular time. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price as determined per platform rules. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect any market outcomes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the outcome. Therefore, discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of each market. It's possible to find arbitrage opportunities by comparing odds across both types of platforms.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information about the Lithuania vs. Sweden match. Trading volume also plays a role; a larger volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and market making on each platform—such as fees or order types—can influence price formation. These differences contribute to the observed price discrepancies.