TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 5:41 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Liska Tomas and Mezera Ondrej in Setka Cup Czechia Men, scheduled for October 4 at 3:15PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liska Tomas' if Liska Tomas wins against Mezera Ondrej. This market will resolve to 'Mezera Ondrej' if Mezera Ondrej wins against Liska Tomas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Liska Tomas and Mezera Ondrej in Setka Cup Czechia Men, scheduled for October 4 at 3:15PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liska Tomas' if Liska Tomas wins against Mezera Ondrej. This market will resolve to 'Mezera Ondrej' if Mezera Ondrej wins against Liska Tomas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, arbitrage opportunities may arise, driving the prediction market odds closer to what sportsbooks offer. However, this market can also incorporate information not immediately reflected in sportsbook odds, such as injury updates or subtle changes in player form.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each possible outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adapt to new information and reflect the collective intelligence of the participants.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Liska Tomas vs. Mezera Ondrej match, as reported by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected announcements about team strategies could all shift the odds. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any updates on the players’ recent performance or head-to-head records could lead to a reassessment of probabilities. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements in this market leading up to Oct 11, 2026.