TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 12:36 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tristan Boyer and Elmer Moeller in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tristan Boyer' if Tristan Boyer advances against Elmer Moeller. This market will resolve to 'Elmer Moeller' if Elmer Moeller advances against Tristan Boyer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tristan Boyer and Elmer Moeller in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tristan Boyer' if Tristan Boyer advances against Elmer Moeller. This market will resolve to 'Elmer Moeller' if Elmer Moeller advances against Tristan Boyer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If prediction market participants have access to information or insights that sportsbooks haven't fully incorporated, the odds may diverge. It’s common to see differences, especially before significant events or when new information emerges, as traders continuously update their assessments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective sentiment of the market participants. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds remain responsive to new information and changing expectations regarding the Boyer vs Moeller match.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Boyer vs Moeller match. The platform will verify the result against widely available sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders who held shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected match conditions could shift trader sentiment. Public announcements about player form or team morale could also influence the odds. Major upsets in related matches or tournaments might lead traders to reassess their probabilities. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the likely winner of the Boyer vs Moeller match has the potential to move this market before Oct 26, 2026.