TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 10:21 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Monteiro and Henrique Rocha in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Monteiro' if Thiago Monteiro advances against Henrique Rocha. This market will resolve to 'Henrique Rocha' if Henrique Rocha advances against Thiago Monteiro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Monteiro and Henrique Rocha in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Monteiro' if Thiago Monteiro advances against Henrique Rocha. This market will resolve to 'Henrique Rocha' if Henrique Rocha advances against Thiago Monteiro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on traders directly assessing probabilities. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it's important to remember that both represent different forms of forecasting, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate. This market’s pricing reflects the collective judgment of its participants.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Thiago Monteiro vs Henrique Rocha match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The market will determine which player won the match, and that result will be used to settle all outstanding shares. Traders should monitor official sources for the confirmed result to understand when and how this market will be finalized.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected performance in other matches could shift trader sentiment. Significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could also create movement, as traders may adjust their positions to align with perceived market inefficiencies. Furthermore, any updates on the players’ form or strategic approaches could impact the perceived probabilities and cause the market to react accordingly. Monitoring tennis news and analysis is key to understanding potential catalysts.