TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 10:50 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Monteiro and Alejandro Moro Canas in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Monteiro' if Thiago Monteiro advances against Alejandro Moro Canas. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Moro Canas' if Alejandro Moro Canas advances against Thiago Monteiro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Monteiro and Alejandro Moro Canas in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Monteiro' if Thiago Monteiro advances against Alejandro Moro Canas. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Moro Canas' if Alejandro Moro Canas advances against Thiago Monteiro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. Therefore, discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts regarding the Monteiro vs Moro Canas match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Monteiro vs Moro Canas match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market is constantly updated with the latest insights and expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Monteiro vs Moro Canas match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event conclusion. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 26, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes might also play a role. Furthermore, broader trends in tennis or public perception of the players’ chances could impact trading activity and, consequently, the market’s price. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements in this market.