TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 6:08 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Szymon Kielan and Benjamin Hassan in the Lisbon, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Szymon Kielan' if Szymon Kielan advances against Benjamin Hassan. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Hassan' if Benjamin Hassan advances against Szymon Kielan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Szymon Kielan and Benjamin Hassan in the Lisbon, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Szymon Kielan' if Szymon Kielan advances against Benjamin Hassan. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Hassan' if Benjamin Hassan advances against Szymon Kielan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, designed to ensure profitability, while Polymarket allows traders to directly assess the probability of an outcome. This can lead to differences, as prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd and may reflect information not fully captured by sportsbooks. However, both aim to accurately forecast the result of the Kielan vs Hassan match, and significant discrepancies can sometimes present arbitrage opportunities for informed bettors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome in the Kielan vs Hassan match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective intelligence of the traders on Polymarket, and changes as new information becomes available or opinions shift. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to the latest developments.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kielan vs Hassan match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders who hold shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The precise timing of resolution may depend on the speed of official result publication.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding the physical condition of Szymon Kielan or Benjamin Hassan, such as injuries or illness, would likely impact trading activity. Updates on their recent performance in other matches, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions on the day of the match could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements or controversies surrounding either athlete could also lead to shifts in the market, as traders adjust their predictions based on the latest information.