TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 4:44 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Svyatoslav Gulin and Elmer Moeller in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Svyatoslav Gulin' if Svyatoslav Gulin advances against Elmer Moeller. This market will resolve to 'Elmer Moeller' if Elmer Moeller advances against Svyatoslav Gulin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Svyatoslav Gulin and Elmer Moeller in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Svyatoslav Gulin' if Svyatoslav Gulin advances against Elmer Moeller. This market will resolve to 'Elmer Moeller' if Elmer Moeller advances against Svyatoslav Gulin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources of participants. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction market participants are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets incorporating a wider range of information, including insights not readily available to sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there’s strong sentiment or unique information driving trading activity in this market. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand, meaning it’s a direct reflection of the collective wisdom of the crowd participating in this market. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Gulin vs Moeller match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor official sources as the event approaches to stay informed about potential updates.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 31, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could significantly shift the odds. Public sentiment, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can also play a role. Major upsets in related events or shifts in expert predictions could also drive trading volume and price movements. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding how this market evolves as the Gulin vs Moeller match draws closer.