TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 7:38 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Selena Janicijevic and Fiona Ferro in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Selena Janicijevic' if Selena Janicijevic advances against Fiona Ferro. This market will resolve to 'Fiona Ferro' if Fiona Ferro advances against Selena Janicijevic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Selena Janicijevic and Fiona Ferro in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Selena Janicijevic' if Selena Janicijevic advances against Fiona Ferro. This market will resolve to 'Fiona Ferro' if Fiona Ferro advances against Selena Janicijevic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, aims to represent the true probability of an event occurring. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, information access, or risk assessments between prediction market participants and sportsbook operators. Analyzing these differences can sometimes reveal potentially valuable insights.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand – if more people believe an outcome is likely, they’ll buy shares, driving up the price, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Janicijevic vs Ferro match as reported by a recognized sporting authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, injuries to either Selena Janicijevic or Fiona Ferro, or changes in playing conditions (like court surface or weather) could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tennis news, could also play a role. Major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in betting patterns or expert analysis, are also likely to impact the market’s price.