TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 8:02 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Patrick Schoen and Svyatoslav Gulin in the Lisbon, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 6:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Patrick Schoen' if Patrick Schoen advances against Svyatoslav Gulin. This market will resolve to 'Svyatoslav Gulin' if Svyatoslav Gulin advances against Patrick Schoen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Patrick Schoen and Svyatoslav Gulin in the Lisbon, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 6:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Patrick Schoen' if Patrick Schoen advances against Svyatoslav Gulin. This market will resolve to 'Svyatoslav Gulin' if Svyatoslav Gulin advances against Patrick Schoen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective intelligence of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies and information sets, and can diverge based on public perception and differing analyses.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants, creating a continuously updated forecast for the Schoen vs Gulin match.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Schoen vs Gulin match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for the match result to understand when the market is finalized and settlements are processed.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategies for either Patrick Schoen or Svyatoslav Gulin could significantly shift probabilities. Unexpected announcements about the match location or conditions could also impact the market. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussions, could lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations as traders adjust their positions based on new information.