TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Alcala Gurri and Andres Andrade in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Alcala Gurri' if Max Alcala Gurri advances against Andres Andrade. This market will resolve to 'Andres Andrade' if Andres Andrade advances against Max Alcala Gurri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Alcala Gurri and Andres Andrade in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Alcala Gurri' if Max Alcala Gurri advances against Andres Andrade. This market will resolve to 'Andres Andrade' if Andres Andrade advances against Max Alcala Gurri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can stem from varying levels of information access, differing risk assessments, or simply the influence of public opinion. Examining these contrasts can be insightful for anyone following the Alcala vs Andrade match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will climb. Conversely, if sentiment shifts towards a different outcome, the price of those shares will increase while the others decrease. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective prediction.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the Alcala vs Andrade match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The market will then reflect the confirmed winner, or a declared draw if applicable. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several signals or events could significantly influence this market before its resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could shift trader sentiment. Public statements from analysts or experts offering their predictions could also play a role, as could significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks. Furthermore, any unforeseen circumstances impacting the match schedule or location could introduce uncertainty and volatility. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market leading up to Oct 26, 2026.