TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 3:19 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mathilde Lollia and Clara Burel in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mathilde Lollia' if Mathilde Lollia advances against Clara Burel. This market will resolve to 'Clara Burel' if Clara Burel advances against Mathilde Lollia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mathilde Lollia and Clara Burel in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mathilde Lollia' if Mathilde Lollia advances against Clara Burel. This market will resolve to 'Clara Burel' if Clara Burel advances against Mathilde Lollia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and insights. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of volume is traded. Analyzing these differences can be valuable for identifying potential mispricings and opportunities for informed betting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective prediction of the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are influenced by news, analysis, and any information that traders believe impacts the probability of either player winning the match. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust accordingly.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Lollia vs Burel match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the winner will be paid out according to the final market prices at the time of resolution.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated performance statistics could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes might also trigger price movements. Furthermore, major upsets in other matches leading up to this one could impact confidence in either player’s form, causing a reassessment of probabilities and a corresponding change in the market’s pricing.