TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 7:20 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Matej Dodig and Joao Domingues in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matej Dodig' if Matej Dodig advances against Joao Domingues. This market will resolve to 'Joao Domingues' if Joao Domingues advances against Matej Dodig. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Matej Dodig and Joao Domingues in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matej Dodig' if Matej Dodig advances against Joao Domingues. This market will resolve to 'Joao Domingues' if Joao Domingues advances against Matej Dodig. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individual traders’ beliefs and information. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. These differences can arise from varying levels of information available to each group or differing interpretations of the same data. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of the expected outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, reflecting the aggregated predictions of its users regarding the Dodig vs Domingues match.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Dodig vs Domingues match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the winning shares. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in expert predictions could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving either player could also lead to adjustments in the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could signal new information or a change in expectations. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential price movements in this market.