TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 12:14 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Cecchinato and Vilius Gaubas in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Cecchinato' if Marco Cecchinato advances against Vilius Gaubas. This market will resolve to 'Vilius Gaubas' if Vilius Gaubas advances against Marco Cecchinato. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Cecchinato and Vilius Gaubas in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Cecchinato' if Marco Cecchinato advances against Vilius Gaubas. This market will resolve to 'Vilius Gaubas' if Vilius Gaubas advances against Marco Cecchinato. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one player, but this market shows a more even split, it suggests disagreement about the likely outcome. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds, especially when there’s significant public interest or uncertainty surrounding an event.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Cecchinato vs Gaubas match as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders will be able to see the final result and the resolution process details on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public opinion could cause the odds to move. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tennis news, might also impact trader sentiment. Major upsets in similar tournaments could also lead to a reassessment of probabilities, causing shifts in the volume and price of shares within this market.