TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:24 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Kai Wehnelt and Milos Karol in the Lisbon, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 8:40AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kai Wehnelt' if Kai Wehnelt advances against Milos Karol. This market will resolve to 'Milos Karol' if Milos Karol advances against Kai Wehnelt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Kai Wehnelt and Milos Karol in the Lisbon, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 8:40AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kai Wehnelt' if Kai Wehnelt advances against Milos Karol. This market will resolve to 'Milos Karol' if Milos Karol advances against Kai Wehnelt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis of the Wehnelt vs Karol match. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective prediction.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the match between Kai Wehnelt and Milos Karol in Lisbon, Portugal. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who held shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. The exact payout amount will depend on the share price when the market closes.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in match conditions, or unexpected performance during qualifying rounds could shift trader sentiment. Public statements from the players or their teams, or analysis from sports commentators, could also influence the market. Unexpected upsets in other related matches, or even broader trends in competitive gaming, might also play a role. Increased trading volume, particularly concentrated on one outcome, would be a strong signal of changing expectations before Oct 25, 2026.