TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 12:06 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Francisca Jorge and Francesca Jones in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francisca Jorge' if Francisca Jorge advances against Francesca Jones. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Jones' if Francesca Jones advances against Francisca Jorge. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Francisca Jorge and Francesca Jones in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francisca Jorge' if Francisca Jorge advances against Francesca Jones. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Jones' if Francesca Jones advances against Francisca Jorge. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while this market represents what traders believe is the true probability of an outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. If you find a significant difference between the odds here and those offered by sportsbooks, it could indicate an opportunity for value betting, depending on your own analysis.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, reflecting their collective assessment of Francisca Jorge's and Francesca Jones’ chances of winning the match.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Jorge-Jones tennis match, as reported by official tournament sources, will determine the winning outcome in this market. It’s important to note that the resolution is based on the official result and not on any subjective interpretation or preliminary reports. Traders should monitor official sources as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about the event's progress and potential impact on the market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 21, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player could also impact their perceived chances of winning. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussions, could lead to increased trading volume and price adjustments. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on potential market movements.