TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 10:09 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Feistel/Serban and Tomai/Vig in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Feistel/Serban' if the team of Feistel/Serban advances against Tomai/Vig. This market will resolve to 'Tomai/Vig' if the team of Tomai/Vig advances against Feistel/Serban. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Feistel/Serban and Tomai/Vig in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Feistel/Serban' if the team of Feistel/Serban advances against Tomai/Vig. This market will resolve to 'Tomai/Vig' if the team of Tomai/Vig advances against Feistel/Serban. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what’s readily available to traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on team or player statistics and expert opinions, this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, risk tolerance among traders, and the incentive structures of each venue. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks, especially in dynamic situations.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased for a particular outcome, the higher its price climbs, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust based on the collective intelligence of the traders participating. The current top outcome, as indicated by share price, is the completion of the match with Feistel/Serban versus Tomai/Vig.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Lisbon doubles match between Feistel/Serban and Tomai/Vig, as determined by the tournament organizers and reported by recognized sports news sources. The market will settle to 100% for the winning outcome, and 0% for the losing outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when this market is officially settled.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match previews from tennis analysts could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament might also lead to reassessments of player form and confidence levels. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed participants could signal a shift in expectations, potentially driving price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market before it resolves.