TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 11:50 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Feistel/Serban and Jorge/Jorge in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Feistel/Serban' if the team of Feistel/Serban advances against Jorge/Jorge. This market will resolve to 'Jorge/Jorge' if the team of Jorge/Jorge advances against Feistel/Serban. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Feistel/Serban and Jorge/Jorge in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Feistel/Serban' if the team of Feistel/Serban advances against Jorge/Jorge. This market will resolve to 'Jorge/Jorge' if the team of Jorge/Jorge advances against Feistel/Serban. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets aim to reflect the true probability of an event as determined by traders. Discrepancies can arise from differing levels of information, biases among bettors, and the incentive structures of each venue. It's common to see prediction markets move more efficiently based on new information, potentially offering more accurate probabilities than sportsbook odds for this match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. Currently, the market indicates a strong expectation for one particular outcome, but this can shift as new information becomes available and traders update their assessments of the Lisbon doubles match.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Lisbon doubles match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which shares will pay out. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches, ensuring they are aware of the final result of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in team strategy could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches featuring these players might also affect perceptions of their likelihood of success. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket can cause immediate price movements, especially if they signal a change in conviction among influential traders. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how the market evolves leading up to Oct 23, 2026.