TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 9:19 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Darja Semenistaja and Mathilde Lollia in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Darja Semenistaja' if Darja Semenistaja advances against Mathilde Lollia. This market will resolve to 'Mathilde Lollia' if Mathilde Lollia advances against Darja Semenistaja. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Darja Semenistaja and Mathilde Lollia in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Darja Semenistaja' if Darja Semenistaja advances against Mathilde Lollia. This market will resolve to 'Mathilde Lollia' if Mathilde Lollia advances against Darja Semenistaja. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can arise from varying levels of information access or differing interpretations of the same data, providing opportunities for informed traders. Analyzing both sources can offer a more comprehensive view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a real-time forecast of the event's outcome. The market’s efficiency depends on active trading and the availability of information.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Semenistaja vs Lollia match as reported by recognized sporting authorities. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which outcome will be considered the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. It’s important to monitor official sources as the event approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected developments in the athletes’ preparation could all impact trader sentiment. Public opinion, expert analysis, and even social media buzz can also play a role, especially as the event draws closer. Significant shifts in betting patterns at traditional sportsbooks might also be reflected in this market. Monitoring these signals can help you anticipate potential price movements and make informed trading decisions.