TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 10:21 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the tennis match between Dalma Galfi and Matilde Jorge in Lisbon will be completed. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Lisbon: Completed Match: Dalma Galfi vs Matilde Jorge”. Resolution will be based on the official scores reported at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Keep an eye on the originally scheduled match time of October 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET, as this is when the initial signal for match commencement—and therefore potential completion—will become available.
This market refers to the tennis match between Dalma Galfi and Matilde Jorge in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dalma Galfi' if Dalma Galfi advances against Matilde Jorge. This market will resolve to 'Matilde Jorge' if Matilde Jorge advances against Dalma Galfi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the players' strengths. If there’s a significant difference between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it might indicate an opportunity for informed traders to capitalize on mispricings. Keep in mind that prediction markets can sometimes be more accurate than traditional forecasts.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Galfi vs Jorge match. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s potential results. The current price indicates the market’s collective expectation for the match.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Galfi vs Jorge match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official result declared by the tournament organizers. The platform will then verify this information to finalize the market and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the event approaches and ensure they understand the timing of the official result announcement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 21, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategic changes could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by informed traders can cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring tennis news and observing trading activity will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market’s price as the match draws closer.