TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 10:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Dalma Galfi and Beatriz Castro in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dalma Galfi' if Dalma Galfi advances against Beatriz Castro. This market will resolve to 'Beatriz Castro' if Beatriz Castro advances against Dalma Galfi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Dalma Galfi and Beatriz Castro in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dalma Galfi' if Dalma Galfi advances against Beatriz Castro. This market will resolve to 'Beatriz Castro' if Beatriz Castro advances against Dalma Galfi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can take the opposite position in this market, driving the price towards what they perceive as the true probability. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of information becomes available, or if public sentiment strongly favors a particular result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Galfi vs Castro match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective prediction of all participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to incorporate this knowledge, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential result. The current price indicates the probability that a specific outcome will occur.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Dalma Galfi versus Beatriz Castro tennis match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will then determine the winning share(s) based on the official outcome, and payouts will be distributed accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. For example, if Galfi were to withdraw from a preceding tournament due to injury, the odds would likely adjust. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location could also play a role, as could any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the players' chances of winning. Monitoring tennis news and analysis will be key to understanding potential price movements.