TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 10:36 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Taberner and Oleksii Krutykh in the Lisbon, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Taberner' if Carlos Taberner advances against Oleksii Krutykh. This market will resolve to 'Oleksii Krutykh' if Oleksii Krutykh advances against Carlos Taberner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Taberner and Oleksii Krutykh in the Lisbon, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Taberner' if Carlos Taberner advances against Oleksii Krutykh. This market will resolve to 'Oleksii Krutykh' if Oleksii Krutykh advances against Carlos Taberner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by real-money wagers and the insights of individuals actively predicting the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or unexpected developments related to the Taberner vs Krutykh match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Taberner vs Krutykh match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people bet on a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived likelihood. Conversely, if traders believe an outcome is less probable, they will sell shares, driving the price down. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Taberner vs Krutykh match as reported by the governing tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome, providing clarity for all participants.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market before Oct 26, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching changes might also influence the odds. Furthermore, public opinion and expert analysis, if they deviate from the current market consensus, could trigger trading activity and price adjustments. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential movements in the market leading up to the resolution of the Taberner vs Krutykh match.