TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 8:44 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Taberner and Alexander Ritschard in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Taberner' if Carlos Taberner advances against Alexander Ritschard. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Ritschard' if Alexander Ritschard advances against Carlos Taberner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Taberner and Alexander Ritschard in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Taberner' if Carlos Taberner advances against Alexander Ritschard. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Ritschard' if Alexander Ritschard advances against Carlos Taberner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market’s odds are driven by traders actively buying and selling contracts. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially regarding late-breaking news or changes in player conditions, leading to potential arbitrage opportunities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the match’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Taberner vs Ritschard match, as reported by the governing tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or shifts in expert analysis could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player could also affect perceptions of their form and ability. Furthermore, major upsets in similar tournaments or changes in betting patterns at traditional sportsbooks might prompt traders to reassess their positions, leading to price fluctuations in this market.