TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 12:39 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Barbora Palicova and Jazmin Ortenzi in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Barbora Palicova' if Barbora Palicova advances against Jazmin Ortenzi. This market will resolve to 'Jazmin Ortenzi' if Jazmin Ortenzi advances against Barbora Palicova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Barbora Palicova and Jazmin Ortenzi in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Barbora Palicova' if Barbora Palicova advances against Jazmin Ortenzi. This market will resolve to 'Jazmin Ortenzi' if Jazmin Ortenzi advances against Barbora Palicova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular result in the Palicova vs Ortenzi match, the prediction market may show a different implied probability. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the collective insight of prediction market participants.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Palicova vs Ortenzi match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more shares are bought, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event’s potential results. This allows for a transparent and efficient way to forecast the match’s outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Palicova vs Ortenzi match as reported by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions impacting the match could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or fitness levels would likely cause shifts in the odds. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could also play a role, although the market’s price ultimately depends on trading activity on Polymarket. Major upsets in related matches could also indirectly affect this market.