TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 9:09 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrej Martin and Tiago Cacao in the Lisbon, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 5:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrej Martin' if Andrej Martin advances against Tiago Cacao. This market will resolve to 'Tiago Cacao' if Tiago Cacao advances against Andrej Martin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrej Martin and Tiago Cacao in the Lisbon, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 5:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrej Martin' if Andrej Martin advances against Tiago Cacao. This market will resolve to 'Tiago Cacao' if Tiago Cacao advances against Andrej Martin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own research and insights. If there's a significant discrepancy, it might indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the event, or that new information hasn't been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds, especially when there's strong community knowledge about the event.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Andrej Martin vs Tiago Cacao match, as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine the winning share(s). Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. It's important to monitor the event's progress leading up to this date.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing surface conditions, or significant performance updates could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also impact their perceived chances of winning. Furthermore, major weather forecasts affecting the tournament location could play a role. As the match approaches, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning is likely to cause movement in this market.