TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 12:08 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrej Martin and Svyatoslav Gulin in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrej Martin' if Andrej Martin advances against Svyatoslav Gulin. This market will resolve to 'Svyatoslav Gulin' if Svyatoslav Gulin advances against Andrej Martin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Andrej Martin and Svyatoslav Gulin in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrej Martin' if Andrej Martin advances against Svyatoslav Gulin. This market will resolve to 'Svyatoslav Gulin' if Svyatoslav Gulin advances against Andrej Martin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can express that view through trading activity here. This can lead to discrepancies, with this market sometimes offering more accurate probabilities, especially when a large volume of trading occurs. It’s important to compare both to form a well-rounded assessment.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in different outcomes. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently incorporates new information as traders react to news, analysis, and other relevant factors. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of participants regarding the Martin vs Gulin match.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Andrej Martin versus Svyatoslav Gulin tennis match. The platform will identify the winner based on publicly available and widely accepted sources of sports results. The specific details of the match result will be used to determine which outcome in this market is considered correct and will trigger payout to the corresponding shares. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving either player might also cause reassessment of their chances. Furthermore, expert analysis or public opinion shifts could drive trading volume and price adjustments. Major announcements related to the tournament itself, or even weather forecasts affecting the playing surface, could all contribute to movement in this market leading up to Oct 29, 2026.