TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 11:54 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Analu Freitas and Raluca Serban in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Analu Freitas' if Analu Freitas advances against Raluca Serban. This market will resolve to 'Raluca Serban' if Raluca Serban advances against Analu Freitas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Analu Freitas and Raluca Serban in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Analu Freitas' if Analu Freitas advances against Raluca Serban. This market will resolve to 'Raluca Serban' if Raluca Serban advances against Analu Freitas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert analysis. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information or correct perceived mispricings. Comparing the odds can reveal where the crowd believes there is value, offering a different angle on the likely outcome of the Freitas vs Serban match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Freitas vs Serban match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective prediction. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price discovery process is driven by supply and demand, meaning that high demand for shares in a particular outcome will increase its price, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Freitas vs Serban match as declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their stake. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Oct 20, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategy, or significant shifts in public perception could cause the odds to move. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, major upsets in similar competitions or the release of updated player statistics could all contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.