TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 8:44 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Ritschard and Svyatoslav Gulin in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Ritschard' if Alexander Ritschard advances against Svyatoslav Gulin. This market will resolve to 'Svyatoslav Gulin' if Svyatoslav Gulin advances against Alexander Ritschard. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Ritschard and Svyatoslav Gulin in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Ritschard' if Alexander Ritschard advances against Svyatoslav Gulin. This market will resolve to 'Svyatoslav Gulin' if Svyatoslav Gulin advances against Alexander Ritschard. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance betting action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are formed through different mechanisms and with different incentives.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to changing conditions. The current price reflects the aggregated beliefs of all traders on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Alexander Ritschard vs Svyatoslav Gulin match, as reported by the governing body of the sport. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or acknowledge their losses based on the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategy could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in related matches, or broader shifts in public opinion regarding the players’ capabilities, could also play a role. Major upsets or particularly dominant performances by either player in the lead-up to the match are likely to cause significant movement. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning will likely affect the price of shares in this market.