TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 8:21 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Adrienn Nagy and Selena Janicijevic in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrienn Nagy' if Adrienn Nagy advances against Selena Janicijevic. This market will resolve to 'Selena Janicijevic' if Selena Janicijevic advances against Adrienn Nagy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Adrienn Nagy and Selena Janicijevic in the Lisbon, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrienn Nagy' if Adrienn Nagy advances against Selena Janicijevic. This market will resolve to 'Selena Janicijevic' if Selena Janicijevic advances against Adrienn Nagy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from initial sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments. If a significant discrepancy exists, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies and information sources, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price can change rapidly based on new information or shifts in sentiment, making it a dynamic representation of expectations for the Nagy vs Janicijevic match.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Nagy vs Janicijevic match, as determined by the governing body of the sport. The platform will then verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome wins. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in coaching strategy for either Adrienn Nagy or Selena Janicijevic could significantly shift expectations. Additionally, analysis from sports commentators, updated rankings, or even public sentiment expressed on social media could all contribute to price movements. Unexpected weather conditions, if the match is outdoors, could also play a role, as could any controversies or rule changes impacting the competition.