TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 8:34 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Abdullah Shelbayh and Pedro Rodenas in the Lisbon, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 5:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Abdullah Shelbayh' if Abdullah Shelbayh advances against Pedro Rodenas. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Rodenas' if Pedro Rodenas advances against Abdullah Shelbayh. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Abdullah Shelbayh and Pedro Rodenas in the Lisbon, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 5:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Abdullah Shelbayh' if Abdullah Shelbayh advances against Pedro Rodenas. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Rodenas' if Pedro Rodenas advances against Abdullah Shelbayh. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price of shares fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to changing conditions surrounding the Shelbayh vs Rodenas match.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Shelbayh vs Rodenas match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine the winning share(s) and distribute payouts accordingly. It’s important to note that the official result is the sole determinant of resolution, and any disputes or challenges to the result will be handled according to Polymarket’s standard procedures.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in expert analysis could all impact traders’ perceptions of the likely outcome. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player could also affect confidence levels. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in market sentiment and trigger further price adjustments. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 25, 2026.