TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 1:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Liptovsky Mikulas will win their professional Slovakian 2. Liga soccer game against 1914 Samorin. Currently, Kalshi gives Liptovsky Mikulas a 99.0% probability of winning, while 1914 Samorin is at 1.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the match as reported by official sources, specifically if Liptovsky Mikulas wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Keep a close watch on the match itself, scheduled for October 5, 2026, as that date marks the end of the betting period and will determine the final result.
The event resolves based on the result of the Liptovsky Mikulas vs 1914 Samorin professional Slovakian 2. Liga soccer match scheduled for October 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Liptovsky Mikulas wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. If 1914 Samorin wins, its market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event exclusively considers regular time results, with no account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. As a result, you may find that the odds on Kalshi diverge from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, particularly as new information becomes available. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbooks, especially when there’s a lot of inside information or complex factors at play that aren’t fully captured in traditional odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, which leads to a dynamic and efficient price discovery process. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will be, and vice-versa. This creates a real-time indicator of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Liptovsky Mikulas vs Samorin match, as reported by a trusted source for sports results. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome aligned with the final result. It’s important to monitor news sources and official announcements leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the outcome.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on the day of the match could also play a role. Furthermore, any major announcements related to the teams or the league they play in could influence the market. Monitoring sports news, team social media, and expert analysis will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could shift the odds in this market.