A men's college basketball game between Lipscomb Bisons and Queens (NC) Royals scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET at Queens University. Multiple prediction markets track the moneyline outcome, point spreads at various thresholds (-1.5, -2.5, -3.5 favoring Queens), and the over/under total of 165.5 points.
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Queens win and Lipscomb win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are internally consistent.
Hero Tip:
Disregard Kalshi moneyline entirely. Trade only Polymarket markets for this event. All Polymarket markets (moneyline, spreads, total) use consistent final-score-inclusive resolution with uniform postponement and cancellation handling.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market states both outcomes resolve Yes: 'If Queens University wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Lipscomb wins...resolves to Yes.' This is logically impossible and makes the market unresolvable.
Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to team name (Lipscomb Bisons or Queens (NC) Royals). Spreads resolve based on margin thresholds (-1.5, -2.5, -3.5 for Queens). Over/Under resolves at 166 combined points. All use final score including overtime, postponement keeps market open, cancellation resolves 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.