TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 10:12 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in the Singapore Premier League. It allows participants to speculate on which team will win the game or if the match will end in a tie. The resolution depends solely on the result after the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the official result of the Lion City Sailors vs Tanjong Pagar United professional Singapore Premier League soccer match scheduled for October 25, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome for either team-specific market occurs only if that team secures a victory within the regulation 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts do not count. The 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes' if the game concludes with an equal score after the same regulation period. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The event explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or its trademarks.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but their origins and influencing factors are distinct. Analyzing both can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth—the number of buy and sell orders at various price points—indicates the level of agreement or disagreement among traders regarding the likelihood of each outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to converge towards a fair and accurate prediction.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Lion City Sailors versus Tanjong Pagar United match in the Singapore Premier League. Any official postponement or cancellation of the match will be reflected in the market’s resolution process, ensuring a fair determination of the outcome based on available information. Traders should monitor official sources for updates leading up to the resolution date.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 25, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either the Lion City Sailors or Tanjong Pagar United would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, any news regarding team tactics, weather conditions expected on match day, or even public statements from key personnel could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market. Monitoring these signals is crucial for informed trading.