TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 5:01 PM EST
Kalshi
In the upcoming EFL Championship match between Lincoln and West Ham, analysts will watch for each team's ability to find the back of the net within regular time. The outcome hinges on whether both clubs manage to score at least one goal during the 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time.
If Lincoln and West Ham both score a goal in the Lincoln vs West Ham EFL Championship match originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and seek to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of both teams scoring, they can take a position in this market, driving the price towards their perceived fair value. It’s common to see prediction markets converge towards more accurate probabilities as the event approaches, especially when compared to initial sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly buying and selling contracts representing their belief about whether both Lincoln and West Ham will score. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability; conversely, selling pressure drives the price down. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants and their evolving expectations regarding the match outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Lincoln and West Ham score at least one goal during the scheduled match time, including any added injury time. Any goals scored during a penalty shootout will not count towards the resolution of this market. The result will be determined by official match data and verified against credible public sources, ensuring a fair and transparent outcome for all traders.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Lincoln or West Ham would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play or scoring opportunities, could also move the market. Furthermore, any updates on team formations or tactical approaches revealed before the match could influence traders’ expectations. Even public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.